Republicans will hold Alaska US Senate seat in tight race

By Becky Bohrer Associated Press • November 10, 2022 2:30 am
U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski, left, Republican challenger Kelly Tshibaka, center, and Democratic challenger Pat Chesbro discuss Arctic security, climate change and other issues during a debate Saturday, Oct. 22, 2022, at the Alaska Federation of Natives convention at the Dena’ina Center in Anchorage. (AP Photos/Mark Thiessen)
U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski, left, Republican challenger Kelly Tshibaka, center, and Democratic challenger Pat Chesbro discuss Arctic security, climate change and other issues during a debate Saturday, Oct. 22, 2022, at the Alaska Federation of Natives convention at the Dena’ina Center in Anchorage. (AP Photos/Mark Thiessen)

JUNEAU— A Republican candidate is expected to hold Alaska’s U.S. Senate seat, with Donald Trump-endorsed Kelly Tshibaka and U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski leading in early returns.

In results early Wednesday morning, Tshibaka had 44.56% of the vote followed by Murkowski with 42.64% and Democrat Pat Chesbro with 9.54%. Percentages are for the first round in Alaska’s ranked-choice system.

Tshibaka and Murkowski were in the race with Chesbro and Republican Buzz Kelley, who lagged well behind in early returns reported Tuesday night. Kelley had suspended his campaign and endorsed Tshibaka.

Murkowski touted her seniority and willingness to work across party lines to advance Alaska’s priorities. Murkowski is the most senior member of Alaska’s congressional delegation, following the death in March of Republican Rep. Don Young, who held Alaska’s House seat for 49 years.

But Tshibaka argued it is time for a change. She noted that a Murkowski has held the Senate seat since 1981; before Lisa Murkowski, it was her father, Frank Murkowski. Tshibaka, after voting on Tuesday, told reporters she was “excited and confident.”

Murkowski in a recent interview said she felt good about the support she’s received but said voter turnout is key. She said in 2010, many of her supporters “kind of took for granted that I was going to be OK,” and she lost her Republican primary to tea party upstart Joe Miller. She ultimately held onto the seat with a general election write-in campaign that year.

This year’s elections were conducted under a new system, approved by voters in 2020, that replaced party primaries with open primaries and instituted ranked voting in general elections. In this year’s August primary, Tshibaka finished second, behind Murkowski, with about 38% of the vote.

Tuesday’s race also included Democrat Pat Chesbro, who had struggled to gain traction. Alaska Democratic Party leaders urged Democrats to “vote their values” and rank Chesbro first. Republican Buzz Kelley, fourth in the primary, ended his campaign, though he’s still on the ballot and endorsed Tshibaka.

Tshibaka, a former commissioner of the state Department of Administration, said she worked during the campaign to shore up Republican support. She indicated that she did not rank Murkowski on her ballot.

“I didn’t vote her either,” Murkowski told The Associated Press while sign-waving at Anchorage intersection Tuesday evening.

“I’m feeling very good,” Murkowski said of her campaign.

Murkowski, who was censured by state Republican party leaders last year over grievances including her vote to convict Trump at his second impeachment trial, has a reputation as a centrist. In ads, she said she is “for Alaska, always,” a nod to what she has said is her commitment “to the people, not to a party.”

Trump, who in that trial was acquitted, last month criticized the Senate Leadership Fund, a third-party group affiliated with Republican Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell, for running ads against Tshibaka. Tshibaka expressed frustration with the ads, too, saying that money would be better spent helping Republican candidates in other states.

She said she heard from Alaskans turned off by the TV ads and mailers. Tshibaka has said she would not support McConnell for majority leader and dismissed suggestions she might be marginalized, if elected, in a McConnell-led conference.

Murkowski “can be controlled. I can’t be,” she said. “I think that’s exactly what Alaskans want, is somebody who’s not going to be controlled by DC but is an independent voice for Alaska.”

A spokesperson for the group, Jack Pandol, said Murkowski “has been a tireless advocate for Alaska and we are proud to support her reelection.” The group said its policy is to defend Republican incumbents.

Under ranked voting, ballots are counted in rounds. A candidate can win outright with more than 50% of the vote in the first round. If no one hits that threshold, the candidate with the fewest votes is eliminated. Voters who chose that candidate as their top pick have their votes count for their next choice.

Rounds continue until two candidates remain, and whoever has the most votes wins. Tabulation rounds are expected to take place Nov. 23.